| Overall | 11W 7L 3T |
| District | 6W 1L 1T |
| Expected | 12: 3+ 6- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
6 6 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
1444 259 Strength Momentum |
1384 63.2(6) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/21/15 | Las Cruces | 0.000 | 1308 | W 3- 1 | Expected (0) | 1465 | 68% |  |
| 08/22/15 | Onate | 0.000 | 1183 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1554 | 78% | |
| 08/24/15 | at Sandia | 0.000 | 1340 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1454 | 59% | |
| 08/26/15 | Albuquerque Academy ?? | 0.000 | 1268 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-4) | 1244 | 72% | |
| 08/29/15 | West Mesa | 0.000 | 889 | W 4- 1 | Expected (-3) | 1305 | 94% | |
| 09/01/15 | at Cleveland | 0.001 | 1384 | T 3- 3 | Worse (0) | 1426 | 54% | |
| 09/03/15 | at La Cueva | 0.001 | 1493 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 1430 | 42% | |
| 09/08/15 | at St. Pius ? | 0.003 | 1289 | L 2- 4 | Worse (-3) | 1278 | 65% | |
| 09/10/15 | Eldorado | 0.005 | 1533 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1427 | 42% | |
| 09/15/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.012 | 1514 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1440 | 40% | |
| 09/17/15 | Los Alamos | 0.016 | 1278 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 1450 | 71% | |
| 09/19/15 | at Albuquerque Academy | 0.023 | 1268 | T 2- 2 | Worse (-2) | 1368 | 67% | |
| 09/24/15 | Santa Fe | 0.006 | 984 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1722 | 91% | |
| 09/26/15 | at Volcano Vista | 0.059 | 1463 | W 2- 1 | Better (+1) | 1515 | 45% | |
| 09/30/15 | Cibola !! | 0.079 | 1546 | W 4- 0 | Better (+5) | 1685 | 41% | |
| 10/07/15 | at Cleveland | 0.208 | 1384 | W 4- 3 | Expected (+1) | 1476 | 54% | |
| 10/10/15 | at Santa Fe | 0.021 | 984 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1746 | 89% | |
| 10/14/15 | Volcano Vista | 0.380 | 1463 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-1) | 1392 | 50% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Cibola ! | 0.470 | 1546 | W 3- 2 | Better (+2) | 1557 | 36% | |
| 10/24/15 | Cleveland | 0.728 | 1384 | T 0- 0 | Worse (-1) | 1403 | 59% | |
| 11/05/15 | * Cibola | 0.991 | 1546 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 1457 | 39% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Rio Rancho actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1384, while
Rio Rancho's "weighted playing strength" is 1461
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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